If HBJ is Right, Perry is in Trouble
A very unscientific poll at Houston Business Journal's website indicates that the governor's reelection chances are looking quite dim. Governor Rick Perry trails Kinky Friedman and Carol Keeton Strayhorn in a poll of Business Journal readers and is barely ahead of the Democrat's Chris Bell.
How bad is it? At the time of this log Perry has 16%, Friedman has 22%, and Strayhorn has a very impressive 45%. Bell follows the pack with 10% and the remaining 4 % is undecided. This should be very disturbing to the governor for several reasons.
First, the average income of an HBJ reader is approximately $100,000.00 a year. An affluent constituency such as this should be in his camp.
Secondly, this group has a larger number of business owners than other publications. Another positive for someone like Perry, one would think.
In other words, this should be a dream constituency for Perry. In fact, if he can't win with this group, there is a good chance he can't win with any.
Why the strong showing for Strayhorn? She has done an excellent job as positioning herself as the most conservative candidate in this race, although that may be doubtful. Furthermore, her strong opposition against (essentially) Perry's expansion of the franchise tax has positioned her as a friend of small business.
I will remind you that this poll is not scientific. Who knows, friends of Strayhorn may have stacked the votes by voting repeatedly. But my gut tells me, this can't bode well for the governor.
How bad is it? At the time of this log Perry has 16%, Friedman has 22%, and Strayhorn has a very impressive 45%. Bell follows the pack with 10% and the remaining 4 % is undecided. This should be very disturbing to the governor for several reasons.
First, the average income of an HBJ reader is approximately $100,000.00 a year. An affluent constituency such as this should be in his camp.
Secondly, this group has a larger number of business owners than other publications. Another positive for someone like Perry, one would think.
In other words, this should be a dream constituency for Perry. In fact, if he can't win with this group, there is a good chance he can't win with any.
Why the strong showing for Strayhorn? She has done an excellent job as positioning herself as the most conservative candidate in this race, although that may be doubtful. Furthermore, her strong opposition against (essentially) Perry's expansion of the franchise tax has positioned her as a friend of small business.
I will remind you that this poll is not scientific. Who knows, friends of Strayhorn may have stacked the votes by voting repeatedly. But my gut tells me, this can't bode well for the governor.
posted by Kevin Price at 7:33 PM
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